Five questions on the minds of business leaders and policymakers in Romania.
Sberbank, Russia’s largest lender, is facing a meltdown from the collapse in its commercial real estate loan book, which is estimated at RUB1.8 trillion ($28bn).
Is Putin ill? Is Putin mad? Is Putin about to be toppled by a coup? The rumour mill is grinding on overtime, and although most of the lurid claims are implausible to say the least, they do remind us of Putin's absolute control over the system.
One last act of selflessness and devotion to his nation is required of Turkish opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu. He must forgo the opportunity of taking on Turkey’s despot and allow someone with box office appeal to take his place.
We have all heard the adage that a butterfly flapping its wings in the Amazon could affect the weather patterns on the other side of the planet. Might the war in Ukraine also have such unintended consequences?
“Here to Stay: Eastern Europeans in Britain” tells the story of the half million citizens of the new EU member states who have moved to the UK since the early 21st century.
In mid-March, Vladimir Putin gave his first substantial commentary on the economic consequences of Western sanctions. Russia is preparing for a scenario where sanctions are never lifted.
No evidence for bizarre propaganda claims circulated in Russian press after series of attacks in Moldovan separatist republic, but they raise worrying questions about Moscow’s intentions.
Moscow is working to secure Mongolia as a junior partner for a new strategically important natural gas pipeline to China.
Most ethnic Russians are descended from peasants and serfs and don’t view themselves as brutal colonisers or chauvinist imperialists. But Russia was an empire from the time of Ivan III and is still going through a post-imperial readjustment.
Last night I attended an event in Washington where I had two conversations relating to Ukraine: one with the principal of a consulting firm, and the other with an employee of the CIA.
Having no ‘Defeat Day’ in its calendar – an oversight the Kremlin would do well to rectify – the Kremlin is already rehearsing for its annual Victory Day parade on May 9.
Monetary climate change (to borrow a phrase from author and columnist Ron Stoeferle) is happening far faster than environmental climate change. And there are some big changes in the works.
Dushanbe is dependent on Russia and indebted to China. Will the IMF come to the rescue?
At the start of this week, it was reported that the Russian Ministry of Energy had stopped publishing monthly data on oil production. Getting hard information on what is going inside Russia is getting harder and that could be a problem.
Ukraine’s economy expanded by 3.4% in 2021 as easing COVID restrictions supported domestic demand and a bumper harvest. This recovery was upended by the onset of war in February 2022, which will see the economy contract by a third.
Russia’s economy expanded by 4.7% in 2021 as easing COVID restrictions supported domestic demand. This recovery was upended by the onset of war in February 2022, which will see the economy contract by roughly 11%.
If Volodymyr Zelenskiy hoped to see a change of government across the Carpathians in Hungary, he’ll have to wait another four years – all the while enduring Viktor Orbán’s small, but near constant, jabs.
The Institute of International Finance estimates that emerging market securities suffered a net outflow of $9.8bn in March 2022, the first outflow month since March 2021, as the global investment community goes “risk on” due to the war in Ukraine.
The atrocities in Bucha, just outside Kyiv, will make the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine more difficult to conclude. The two sides had made headway but several difficult issues remain on the agenda, and progress seems to have stalled.