Southeast Europe / Features

Population decline to take Emerging Europe back to the early 20th century

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow August 12, 2022

Population decline across almost all of Emerging Europe will result in the populations of many countries dropping to levels not seen since the early 20th century.

Serbia’s push into Africa revives old Cold War ties

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow July 24, 2022

Belgrade is reviving ties forged during Yugoslavia’s time as a leader of the non-aligned movement now a new Cold War is looming.

DATACRUNCH: Stagflation visualisation

Ben Aris in Berlin July 18, 2022

Stagflation is here. The world is facing a global recession that could go on for several years as central banks everywhere will be forced to put through growth-crushing large rate hikes to control runaway inflation. But just how bad is it now?

FDI in CEE: It’s about Russia, inflation and populism

Wojciech Kosc in Warsaw July 18, 2022

After February 24, when the first Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine, looking at a map of Europe is no longer what it used to be.

Russians and Ukrainians pile into Turkish real estate market

Justine Mazonier July 14, 2022

Buyers flee war impacts to protect assets. Ukrainians seen as very likely to depart for home once conflict is over. The Russians, less so.

Serbia’s strong tech sector growth defies brain drain

Clare Nuttall in Belgrade and Glasgow July 8, 2022

International companies in search of tech talent and innovative local startups are converging in Serbia, an emerging high-tech hub that is especially strong in blockchain and game development.

Tougher times ahead for Emerging Europe

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow July 7, 2022

With no end to the Ukraine war in sight, spiralling inflation is set to drag down growth across Emerging Europe in the second half of 2022 and into 2023, wiiw’s latest forecasts say.

US and Chinese slowdown will tip the world into recession, says IIF

bne IntelliNews July 2, 2022

The worsening economic data coming out of the US and yet another coronavirus lockdown in China will tip the world into a global recession, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) said in a note on July 1.

Stagflation fears continue to rise

bne IntelliNews July 1, 2022

Global inflation refuses to be tamed and with price increases in the US hitting 8.6% in May, its highest level in 40 years, the Fed is expected to continue tightening monetary policy by hiking rates that will suck liquidity out of emerging markets.

Death of China-to-Russia cargo transit routes means it’s all aboard for Kazakhstan

Nizom Khodjayev in Almaty June 25, 2022

Vladimir Putin wants to reorientate Russian trade east and south. To some extent, such a strategy will be complicated by an avoid-Russia-at-all-costs mentality drawing commerce to a ‘Middle Corridor’.

Armenia diaspora faces waning influence on Turkey, Azerbaijan negotiations

Ani Mejlumyan for Eurasianet June 24, 2022

Recent moves toward restoring relations with Armenia’s traditional enemies have run into strong resistance from the global diaspora. But will it make a difference?

CEE inflation spreading across whole region, set to last for years

Ben Aris in Berlin June 22, 2022

Inflation is being driven up by the food crisis and disrupted supply chains, first during the pandemic and now due to the war in Ukraine, leading to fears of stagflation for the whole world.

World hit by interest rate and inflation shock says IIF

Ben Aris in Berlin June 20, 2022

The world’s economy is being hit by an inflation and interest rate shock that shows no sign of abating, Institute of International Finance (IIF) said in a recent paper.

Turkey’s despair rating score is worse than war-torn Ukraine’s

bne IntelliNews June 16, 2022

Turkey is in a full-blown crisis and has an extremely high despair index of 93.8, even worse than that of sanction-embattled Russia’s 42.5. And if you don't believe the official Turkish statistics, Turkey's score is also even worse than Ukraine's.

Global red warning lights are flashing as stagflation looms

Ben Aris in Berlin June 9, 2022

The conflict in Ukraine and high inflation threaten the global economy with stagflation similar to that experienced in the 1970s, according to a new World Bank forecast.

CONFERENCE CALL: Globsec basks in Putin's humiliation

Robert Anderson in Prague June 6, 2022

In contrast to previous conferences of the Bratislava-based security think-tank, there was a feeling that the West is no longer on the back foot and that now is the time to press home its advantage.

War and soaring prices take toll on Southeast Europe's listed companies

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow June 4, 2022

Even companies without operations in Russia or Ukraine are affected by the supply chain disruptions and hikes in food and energy prices.

Three landmark legal verdicts strengthen LGBTI rights in Southeast Europe

bne IntelliNews May 28, 2022

Despite growing anti-LGBTI rhetoric from politicians across Europe, courts in Bosnia, Bulgaria and Croatia issued rulings reinforcing protection for the rights of LGBTI people.

EU’s credibility on the line over enlargement

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow May 26, 2022

Austria’s foreign minister calls enlargement the EU’s biggest geopolitical instrument – but will member states use it to encourage candidates and would-be candidates at the upcoming EU Council?

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