Annual rise in public debt is expected reach a new record in 2024 of over €28bn, surpassing the €25.9bn net borrowing in the Covid year 2020.
Uncertainty over the pace of improvement in inflation has increased in light of incoming data, says central bank.
Consumer prices in Bulgaria rose by 1.2% in September 2024 compared to the same period last year (chart), according to preliminary National Statistical Institute (NSI) data. Month on month, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 1%.
Industrial production index plunged by 4.2% y/y, marking one of the most significant annual declines in the past year and a half.
Expectations of further disinflation are being put at risk by a sharp rise in real earnings, fiscal slippage and potential rises in energy prices.
Annual growth rate remained above 8% y/y for the third consecutive month.
Big energy deals dominate in year so far.
High uncertainties and risks stem from Romania's fiscal and income policy stance, as well as external factors.
Stands a percentage point below the central bank benchmark of 50%. But the ENAG unofficial reading puts it at 89%.
Worrying picture for companies experiencing challenging demand conditions.
Full year growth is projected at around 2.6% for 2024, faster than the 1.7% in 2023.
Slower economic growth and lower inflation this year failed to dilute the indebtedness ratio that has been above 50% since February.
Inflation in Bosnia has slowed down significantly, which has boosted the retail trade and tourism.
Stock of bank loans to Romanian households soared by €2.54bn in the 12 months to August 2024.
Growth slowed compared to Q1 but was stronger than in 2Q23.
As things stand, a cut is expected in the fourth quarter.
Output showed a 0.1% increase in July after three years of gradual decline.
Household consumption expenditure in Romania increased to 67.1% of GDP in Q1, the highest level since Q1 2020, and 63.6% in Q2.
Both exports and imports have stagnated over the last two years.
Serbia’s gross domestic product GDP has grown at a rate 2.5 times faster than that of the European Union since 2018.