Southeast Europe / Opinion

Are Georgia and Serbia heading for coloured revolutions?

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow January 23, 2025

As protests swell in Georgia and Serbia, the critical question is whether demonstrators will force change or prove ineffective against their deeply entrenched ruling elites.

URUS-ClearPic: Across Eurasia, China is leveraging supply risk successfully – so could others

Alexander Teddy and Alexander Sherwood of Urus Advisory January 23, 2025

In late 2001, when much of the world – especially the US and the West – was preoccupied by 9/11 and the resulting military campaigns, China acceded to the World Trade Organisation. This marked a shift in its global trade and China’s playbook.

COMMENT: Europe needs to start the fightback against Trump now

Robert Anderson in Prague January 21, 2025

The European centre-right is facilitating the populist attack on liberal democracy.

Analysts expect ‘perfect storm’ of political risks in 2025

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow January 20, 2025

Global political risk is set to intensify in 2025 with international trade becoming a geopolitical battleground after Trump’s return to office, said Verisk Maplecroft analysts.

COMMENT: With Trump back in the White House, Europe may need to turn to Turkey to strengthen its security

Will Conroy in Prague January 19, 2025

Analyst suggests EU cannot hope to deter Russia effectively without closer cooperation with Ankara.

COMMENT: The EU’s Green Deal is a “policy disaster”

bne IntelliNews December 29, 2024

Energy analyst Dr Tom O'Donnell has issued a stark critique of the European Union's Green Deal, describing it as a "policy disaster" that requires radical reform to prevent further industrial decline and to bolster energy security.

COMMENT: Russia’s losses in Syria are Turkey’s gains

bnm Gulf bureau December 17, 2024

Russia’s hand in the Middle East has been dramatically weakened by the departure of Syrian president Bashar al-Assad, while Turkey’s has been strengthened.

IMF: The 2004 EU enlargement was a success story built on deep reform efforts

Sebastian Weber for the IMF December 16, 2024

New accession candidates will need to undertake equally ambitious reforms to make the next expansion a comparable success.

COMMENT: European countries plan hydrogen import infrastructure to achieve climate goals

Fuad Shahbazov in Durham December 6, 2024

Talks between Greece's DESFA and several Southeast and Central European countries aim to establish a new hydrogen corridor to Germany.

CENUSA: The “Georgescu phenomenon” in Romania

Denis Cenusa in Germany November 28, 2024

Parallels drawn with Putin, Trump and Orban after Calin Georgescu’s surprise first round presidential election lead.

COMMENT: The EU’s Internal Security Framework is unfit for Cold War 2.0

Owen Walden-Harris November 21, 2024

Not only has Trump's re-election undermined the EU’s reliance on American security structures, but it is also facing unprecedented strain in the form of hybrid attacks from rogue states.

IMF: How to awaken Europe's private sector and boost economic growth

IMF November 11, 2024

In the European Union, income per person, one of the main gauges of living standards, is on average one-third less than in the United States, mostly because of lower productivity—as emphasised by Mario Draghi’s Sept. 9 competitiveness report.

COMMENT: Political, economic and security headaches Trump Europe’s mounting problems

Ben Aris in Berlin November 8, 2024

The re-election of Donald Trump as US President could become a major headache for Europe that is already struggling to keep its head above recessionary water.

COMMENT: Will the renewal of the Serbia-Russia gas deal prolong Moscow's energy dominance in Europe?

Fuad Shahbazov in Durham November 8, 2024

Gazprom’s gas supply contract with Serbia is due to expire in 2025.

Erdogan prepares to make nice with Trump, the man who once threatened to “destroy the Turkish economy”

bne IntelliNews November 6, 2024

Ankara insiders remember Trump as a US president who would often make promises and deals “that wouldn’t result in any progress or follow-up”.

COMMENT: The outlook for Armenia-Turkey normalisation

Richard Giragosian in Yerevan November 1, 2024

There is a renewed sense of movement in the process of “normalisation” between Armenia and Turkey, but progress has been impeded by Ankara's unwillingness to do anything that undermines its relationship with Azerbaijan.

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