Eastern Europe / Opinion

COMMENT: Trump demands Europe import more US LNG, as the EU proposes banning Russian LNG completely. Neither will happen.

Ben Aris in Berlin January 21, 2025

US President Donald Trump wants Europe to buy more US gas or face tariffs, and ten EU member states have again called for an end to all Russian imports. Neither of these things are going to happen. Europe remains hooked on Russian gas.

COMMENT: No, Russia is not facing a banking crisis

bne IntelliNews January 19, 2025

No, Russia is not on the cusp of a banking credit crisis. That was the conclusion of a paper by Alexandra Prokopenko, a political economy analyst.

COMMENT: With Trump back in the White House, Europe may need to turn to Turkey to strengthen its security

Will Conroy in Prague January 19, 2025

Analyst suggests EU cannot hope to deter Russia effectively without closer cooperation with Ankara.

COMMENT: Armenia makes a strategic turn from Russia towards the West

Robert Ananyan in Yerevan January 16, 2025

Moscow realises it is losing Armenia, which has been considered its main ally in the South Caucasus for decades.

COMMENT: Gulf states court Russia but stop short of strategic shift

bne IntelliNews January 14, 2025

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states are increasingly backing Russia in its geopolitical and economic standoff with the West, but they have stopped short of fully embracing Russia.

MACRO ADVISORY: Sanctions SITREP — only seven more sleeps

Chris Weafer of Macro-Advisory January 13, 2025

We are going to bed seven more times until the second Trump era begins. What's on the agenda?

MACRO ADVISORY: Interpreting Dostoyevsky for Gen-Z and Z Politicians

Chris Weafer CEO of Macro-Advisory January 10, 2025

One of the most surprising legacies of last year is the revival of interest in, and discussion about, Fyodor Dostoyevsky (1921-1881), both outside and inside Russia. Quoting Dostoyevsky has become very fashionable in Russian political debates.

RIDDLE: Is Russia in a stagflation crisis?

Yakov Feygin in Pennsylvania January 6, 2025

In his recent article, the economist Vladislav Inozemtsev takes aim at those arguing that Russia faces an imminent economic crisis due to an unusual combination of high interest rates and inflationary pressures: "Stagflation."

CENUSA: Polish EU Presidency puts Russian hybrid threats in the spotlight

Denis Cenusa in Berlin January 6, 2025

After six months under a Russian-aligned Hungarian presidency of the EU Council, the leadership has now passed to Poland, a strong critic of Russia’s disruptive influence in Europe.

COMMENT: Russia’s losses in Syria are Turkey’s gains

bnm Gulf bureau December 17, 2024

Russia’s hand in the Middle East has been dramatically weakened by the departure of Syrian president Bashar al-Assad, while Turkey’s has been strengthened.

COMMENT: Russia and Syria will remain partners even after Assad

bnm Gulf bureau December 13, 2024

Russia looks to be staying put on Syria's coast despite efforts by its enemies to boot it out of the country.

RAGOZIN: Does the exiled Russian opposition have a future?

Leonid Ragozin in Riga December 11, 2024

One the eve of the Russian antiwar and anti-Putin march in Berlin held on November 17, Ukrainian ambassador to Germany Oleksiy Makeiev published an op-ed in Die Zeit in which he dubbed it as “a walk without dignity and consequences”.

Who is investing in Ukraine?

Andrew Pryma of UBN in Kyiv November 26, 2024

New research shows both foreign and local investors are currently active in Ukraine.

COMMENT: Trump 2.0 could be a blessing for Belarus

bne IntelliNews November 23, 2024

Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko was quicker than many American news networks to pronounce Donald Trump the winner of the recent US presidential election. Lukashenko showered Trump with compliments as soon as the results were out.

COMMENT: The EU’s Internal Security Framework is unfit for Cold War 2.0

Owen Walden-Harris November 21, 2024

Not only has Trump's re-election undermined the EU’s reliance on American security structures, but it is also facing unprecedented strain in the form of hybrid attacks from rogue states.

RAGOZIN: What will a Trump-led peace deal in Ukraine look like?

Leonid Ragozin in Latvia November 11, 2024

For Ukraine conflict watchers, all eyes now are on President Donald Trump who famously promised to stop the war “within 24 hours”.

COMMENT: Political, economic and security headaches Trump Europe’s mounting problems

Ben Aris in Berlin November 8, 2024

The re-election of Donald Trump as US President could become a major headache for Europe that is already struggling to keep its head above recessionary water.

COMMENT: Will the renewal of the Serbia-Russia gas deal prolong Moscow's energy dominance in Europe?

Fuad Shahbazov in Durham November 8, 2024

Gazprom’s gas supply contract with Serbia is due to expire in 2025.

COMMENT: How Trump’s return to White House could affect India-Russia ties

bno - Chennai Office November 6, 2024

A second Trump administration in the US could become a test for India’s historically strong ties with Russia. With increasing pressure from the US on defence and energy, India may face difficult decisions about its alliances

KSE: Ukraine Macroeconomic Handbook October 2024

Kyiv School of Economics Kyiv School of Economics November 5, 2024

Despite robust real GDP growth in 2024-27, and especially after the end of the full-scale war, Ukraine is expected to lag behind its convergence path to the EU, Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) said in its October Ukrainian macroeconomic report.

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