Eastern Europe / Opinion

COMMENT: Need and loathing in Russia – unpacking the labour migration paradox

Katherine Spencer September 10, 2025

Central Asian guest workers face growing hardship.

COMMENT: France’s instability risks weakening Europe at a critical moment

Ben Aris in Berlin September 10, 2025

The French government fell on September 8, facing a 5.8% of GDP budget deficit it can neither fund nor reduce, plunging the Fifth Republic into yet another crisis at a critical time for Europe.

COMMENT: Putin’s pivot to China cements Russia’s vassalage to Beijing

Ben Aris in Berlin September 9, 2025

When Donald Trump declared that Joe Biden had made the “unthinkable” mistake of pushing Moscow into Beijing’s arms, the US president suggested their partnership was inherently fragile.

COMMENT: Potential sanctions on Russian oil keeps price outlook uncertain

Ben Aris in Berlin September 5, 2025

The ongoing Ukraine war ceasefire talks and the potential for new and even more extreme sanctions on Russian oil exports is keeping the outlook for the price of oil uncertain, Oxford Economics said in a note.

COMMENT: Russia’s size is its Achilles’ heel as Ukraine targets its oil infrastructure

Ben Aris in Berlin August 31, 2025

Since August the Armed Forces of Ukraine has mounted a continuous barrage on Russian refineries that has reduced output by 20%. Russia is so big that the Kremlin can’t protect all its pipelines and refineries.

COMMENT: Can Russia weather Ukrainian drone attack fuel crisis?

bne IntelliNews August 27, 2025

Russia is once again navigating a familiar crisis: surging gasoline prices, empty fuel pumps, and mounting pressure on its domestic supply system. This is not the first time Russia has faced a fuel crisis, but this one is especially bad.

COMMENT: Can Lukashenko capitalise on thaw in relations with the US?

bne IntelliNews August 26, 2025

When Donald Trump picked up the phone en route to his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on August 15, his brief call with Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko marked an unprecedented diplomatic moment.

Ukraine has made Russia’s refining sector a strategic liability

Ben Aris in Berlin August 24, 2025

Russia’s ability to produce fuel is under attack. In the Far Eastern region of Primorye, kilometre-long queues at filling stations have already appeared and petrol prices are soaring as a fuel crisis gathers momentum.

Western reliance on peacekeepers and arms sales in lieu of real security guarantees doom Russo-Ukraine peace talks to failure

Ben Aris in Berlin August 20, 2025

The coalition of the willing plan to send “reassurance forces” to Ukraine and buy Kyiv $100bn worth of new US weapons in lieu of giving Kyiv real collective security guarantees will doom imminent Russo-Ukraine peace negotiations to failure.

Russians have mixed feelings about Stalin, but only 2% condemn him

Ben Aris in Berlin August 20, 2025

In May of this year the world was shocked by the Moscow City government decision to unveil a grand bas-relief of Stalin at the Taganskaya metro station in the heart of Moscow.

COMMENT: Belarus potato crisis

bne IntelliNews August 19, 2025

Belarus economic mismanagement and Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko growing proclivity for Soviet-era fixes has caused a potato crisis that is emblematic of Belarus’ deepening economic problems.

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