Ukraine

COMMENT: Ukraine’s coming financial storm

Ben Aris in Berlin September 16, 2025

“A crisis is drawing ever closer. It will break in Ukraine, but it won’t begin on the frontlines, where the country’s battle-weary brigades continue to impose a brutal cost on the Russian invader. A crisis is coming.

Ukraine hits multiple Russian oil refineries, Trump calls for more EU oil sanctions

Ben Aris in Berlin September 15, 2025

Ukraine is expanding its campaign of trying to cut the Kremlin off from its oil export income with a campaign of targeting Russia’s oil refining and pipeline assets, using its new long-range drones and missiles.

Extreme poverty falling steadily – OWID

Our World in Data September 15, 2025

To track progress towards ending extreme poverty, the United Nations relies on World Bank estimates of the number of people living below a poverty threshold called the “International Poverty Line” (IPL), Our World in Data (OWID) reports.

Two thirds of Germans fear a Russian invasion fuelling far-right election gains in western heartland

Ben Aris in Berlin September 15, 2025

Public anxiety over a potential Russian attack on Nato territory has surged in Germany following the recent drone incursion on September 10 into Polish airspace that coincided with sharp gains by the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD).

McFaul: Putin Is Making Trump Look Weak

Micheal McFaul in Stamford September 14, 2025

It’s time for a new, effective, and credible response. Nearly two dozen Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace. Nato forces promptly shot them down - the first direct military confrontation between Russia and Nato since the Ukraine war started

Lukewarm support for Polish UN vote condemning Russian drone incursion

Ben Aris in Berlin September 14, 2025

Only 46 out of 193 UN member states signed a joint UN declaration on September 12, denouncing Russia’s alleged involvement in a drone incursion into Polish airspace two days earlier.

Ukraine facing a financial cliff as IMF warns Ukraine may need an extra $20bn of external funding in 2025

Ben Aris in Berlin September 12, 2025

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has concluded that Ukraine’s financing needs for 2026 and 2027 could be as much as $20bn higher than the government in Kyiv’s own estimates, as negotiations begin on securing a new aid package.

Kremlin puts Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks on hold

bne IntelliNews September 12, 2025

Negotiation channels between Russia and Ukraine remain formally open but the Kremlin has put talks on hold, as prospects for renewed diplomatic engagement appear remote. Presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.

UKraine's NBU keeps rates at 15.5% for the fourth consecutive time

bne IntelliNews September 12, 2025

The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) kept the key policy rate unchanged at 15.5% for a fourth time in a row on September 11, citing persistent inflationary pressures despite a clear downward trend in consumer price growth, UBN reports.

Russia's Zapad -2025 military exercises are a show of strength as military tensions in Europe rise

Ben Aris in Berlin September 12, 2025

The joint Russia and Belarus military exercises get underway on September 12 that will be closely watched by Nato analysts to gauge how strong Russia’s military has become after more than three years of war.

#BREAKING: Belarus releases another 52 prisoners after talks with US

Ben Aris in Belrin September 11, 2025

Belarus has released another 52 prisoners following negotiations with the US , with President Alexander Lukashenko granting pardons on what state media described as humanitarian grounds, the BelTA news agency reported on September 11.

COMMENT: What were Russian drones doing in Poland?

Ben Aris in Berlin September 11, 2025

With no clear explanation from Moscow, theories have proliferated over how and why more than a dozen Russian drones crossed into Poland on September 10—and what this means for European security.

One in three Poles blame Ukraine for the drone incursion into Polish airspace

Ben Aris in Berlin September 11, 2025

For the first time during the full-scale war in Ukraine, Poland has shot down multiple Russian drones in its airspace on September 10, but a third of Poles have blamed the strike on Ukraine, not Russia, according to a poll.

Hungarian foreign minister fails to condemn Russian drone attack during Belarus visit

bne IntelliNews September 11, 2025

Peter Szijjarto avoided blaming Russia for drones crossing Polish airspace and causing damage, a stance in line with Budapest’s longstanding reluctance to confront Moscow directly.

Von der Leyen pledges unwavering support for Ukraine, unveils competitiveness reforms in EC state of the Union speech

Ben Aris in Berlin September 10, 2025

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen used her annual EU State of the Union address on September 10 to reaffirm the bloc’s commitment to Ukraine, signal a tougher stance on Israeli settler violence, and outline reform

COMMENT: France’s instability risks weakening Europe at a critical moment

Ben Aris in Berlin September 10, 2025

The French government fell on September 8, facing a 5.8% of GDP budget deficit it can neither fund nor reduce, plunging the Fifth Republic into yet another crisis at a critical time for Europe.

Trump urges EU to hit China, India with 100% tariffs

Ben Aris in Berlin September 10, 2025

US President Donald Trump called for the EU to hit China and India with tariffs of up to 100% on imports in an effort to force Moscow to end its war in Ukraine, the Financial Times reported on September 8.

Poland shoots down Russian drones after airspace breach, authorities say

bne IntelliNews September 10, 2025

Prime Minister Donald Tusk said he was in “constant contact" with the defence ministry and President Karol Nawrocki.

COMMENT: Putin’s pivot to China cements Russia’s vassalage to Beijing

Ben Aris in Berlin September 9, 2025

When Donald Trump declared that Joe Biden had made the “unthinkable” mistake of pushing Moscow into Beijing’s arms, the US president suggested their partnership was inherently fragile.

Europe mulls secondary sanctions as part of the nineteenth sanctions package for the first time

Ben Aris in Berlin September 9, 2025

The European Union is considering the unprecedented step of adopting US-style secondary sanctions as part of the nineteenth sanctions package currently under review. The EU has never imposed secondary sanctions before.

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