RIDDLE: Sanctions and the Eurasian Economic Union
Belarus President Lukashenko wins re-election in a landslide, to no one’s surprise
Belarus' Lukashenko is a shoo-in for his seventh election as president
Lukashenko mulls building a second nuclear power plant
Russian military withdraws from Syria amid tensions with Damascus regime
Germany’s Russian LNG imports surge over 500% in 2024, via other countries
Russia blocks a record 417,000 websites in 2024 as the Kremlin tightens its control over RuNet
Russia is creating a list of LGBT+ citizens – and it could be made public
Ukraine's stored gas falls to critically low levels, imports urgently needed
Brazil's President Lula and Putin hold talks on Ukraine war and BRICS
ING: EU considering Russian aluminium ban in new sanctions push
Lack of megadeals drags down M&A volume in Emerging Europe
Turkey’s role in European security on agenda as top diplomats of Ankara, EU meet
COMMENT: Europe needs to start the fightback against Trump now
Analysts expect ‘perfect storm’ of political risks in 2025
Central and Eastern European banks defy expectations with robust 2024 earnings, says RBI
Czech National Bank to become the first European central bank to add Bitcoin to its reserves
Slovakia's political crisis deepens, PM Fico accuses Czech politicians and media of meddling with Slovak internal affairs
Hungary to enhance cooperation with UAE in defence and advanced technologies
Hungarian PM arrives in UAE amid controversy surrounding flagship real estate development project
Change in forward guidance of Hungarian central bank suggests persistent tight monetary policy ahead
Solar generation tops coal for first time in EU in 2024
Polish retail sales disappoint in December
Protests against Fico’s pro-Kremlin turn intensify across Slovakia
President Pellegrini calls situation in Slovakia “serious” in wake of country-wide protests, PM Fico coup plot claims
Slovenian president “very worried” about far-right FPÖ-led government in Austria
Albania plans Vatican-style state for Bektashi order in Tirana
Albania's PM signals possible shift on TikTok ban
OUTLOOK Southeastern Europe 2025
Shopping boycotts spread across the Balkans
BALKAN BLOG: Polluted Balkan capitals choke on winter smog
Bulgaria’s new government gives up on January 2026 eurozone entry
Bulgaria’s ruling coalition rejects central bank law changes putting eurozone entry at risk
Croatian shops nearly empty as boycott gets underway
Croatian robot boat to tackle microplastics in the Adriatic
Analysts and diplomats accuse Serbia of hybrid warfare ahead of Kosovo's general election
Sanctions stepped up in the Western Balkans, but with mixed results
EU gives Moldova €30mn as short-term fix to energy crisis and promises longer-term plan
Ukraine offers coal and experts to settle Transnistria’s energy crisis without Russia
Expected settlement of energy crisis in Transnistria may have a security cost
Protesters in Montenegro threaten civil disobedience
Owner of North Macedonia’s Gley streaming platform to launch IPO
Romania’s public debt reaches 54.3% of GDP at end-November
Romanian energy minister slams EU’s "green shock therapy"
Iconic Romanian ancient artefacts stolen from Dutch museum
Serbian President Vucic mulls snap general election
Serbian Prime Minister Vucevic resigns after weeks of mass protests
Musk urged to knock Turkish drones out of global market
Sweden’s Aonic invests $10mn in Turkish game developer Mega Fortuna
Syria removed customs tariffs after inflation warning from Turkey, says Turkish trade minister
Turkish opposition to name presidential candidate early in pushback against judicial crackdown
PANNIER: Taliban’s relations with Central Asia imperilled as Trump turns off aid taps
India’s doubts over TAPI Pipeline persist amid security and geopolitical concerns
PANNIER: Tajikistan, Taliban tone down the hostile rhetoric
Central Asia emerges as new e-commerce hub
China enhances position as Central Asia’s economic overlord
Azerbaijan's President Aliyev demands land corridor through Armenia as tensions rise
Russia and Armenia seek to ease strained relations
CAUCASUS BLOG: Is it the end of the honeymoon between Azerbaijan and Russia?
Saving the Caspian Sea for Central Asia and Kazakhstan
European Council suspends visa-free regime for Georgian officials and diplomats
Detained Georgian journalist's life at risk after 16-day hunger strike
Protesters in rural Georgia aim to sap the security forces’ strength
URUS-ClearPic: Across Eurasia, China is leveraging supply risk successfully – so could others
Thoughts of teenagers licking backs of “psychedelic toads” bother MPs in Kyrgyzstan
OUTLOOK Small Stans & Mongolia 2025
Angry Mongolians take to streets in public backlash over taxes and smog
Mongolia revives traditional "Ghengis Khan" script bichig
EBRD delivers 26% expansion in investments in 2024, commits record €16.6bn across economies
Tajikistan: Personnel reshuffle creates glide path for dynastic transition of power
Turkmen loo users warned state newspapers not “read and wipe” material
Uzbekistan boasts Central Asia’s best wind and solar energy potential, says expert
Uzbekistan’s Saneg turns flared gas into fuel
Sanctioned Russian cargo ship sinks in Mediterranean after explosion
Russia's budget oil breakeven price world’s second lowest as oil revenues recover
Southeast European countries look to Algeria to diversify energy supplies
Slovenia turns back to Algerian gas after flirtation with Russian supplies
IEA: Access to energy improving worldwide, driven by renewables
The hurricane season in 2024 was weird
Global warming will increase crop yields in Global North, but reduce them in Global South
Hundreds of millions on verge of starvation, billions more undernourished as Climate Crisis droughts take their toll
Global access to energy starts to fall for the first time in a decade, says IEA
Saudi Arabia hosts kingdom's first Africa summit, to boost ties, promote stability
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Botswana throws the diamond industry a lifeline
Nelson Mandela worried about natural diamonds, Leonardo di Caprio defended them, makers of lab-grown stones demonise them
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Kamikaze marketing: how the natural diamond industry could have reacted to the lab-grown threat
Russia’s Rosatom to support nuclear projects across Africa at AEW2024
JPMorgan, Chase and HSBC reportedly unwittingly processed payments for Wagner warlord Prigozhin
Burkina Faso the latest African country to enter nuclear power plant construction talks with Russia
IMF: China’s slowdown will hit sub-Saharan growth
Moscow unlikely to give up Niger toehold as threat of ECOWAS military action looms
CAR mercenary becomes first African to die in Ukraine conflict
Overcoming insecurity to unlock the Central African Republic’s mineral riches
Rain, rain go away
Africa, Asia most people living in extreme poverty
10 African countries to experience world’s fastest population growth to 2100
EM winners and losers from the global green transformation
Russia seeks to expand its nuclear energy dominance with new international projects
EBRD warns of risks for emerging markets pursuing industrial policies
Russia blocks UN Security Council resolution on Sudan humanitarian crisis
G20 summit wraps up with a joint statement strong on sentiment, but short on specifics
SDS storms fed by sand and dust equal in weight to 350 Great Pyramids of Giza, says UNCCD
Southern Africa has 'enormous' potential for green hydrogen production, study finds
Malaysia seeks BRICS membership
Kazakhstan has no plans to join BRICS, says Astana
Sri Lanka to apply for BRICS membership
From oil to minerals: Gabon’s ambitious mining transition
How France is losing Africa
Guinea grants final approvals to Rio Tinto for $11.6bn Simandou iron-ore project
Mixing with the running stars at Kenya’s Home of Champions high altitude training camp
Kenya’s untapped mineral wealth holds the promise of economic transformation
US adds 17 Liberian-flagged bulk carriers and oil tankers to Russian sanctions-busting blacklist
Panama and Liberia vying for largest maritime registry
Force majeure at Libya’s Zawiya Refinery threatens exports and oil expansion plans
Russia, facing loss of Syrian base for Africa operations, seen turning to war-torn Sudan or divided Libya
Libya’s mineral riches: unlocking a future beyond oil
Russia funding war in Ukraine via illegal gold mining in Africa – WGC report
Ukraine claims it was behind massacre of Wagner Group mercenaries in Mali
Can Morocco's phosphate wealth put it at the centre of the global battery supply chain?
Hajj aftermath: deaths, disappearances and detentions spark investigations across world
Sri Lanka's LTL Holdings targets African power sector
Russia's nuclear diplomacy binding emerging markets to the Kremlin
Can Niger's military junta seize the country's uranium opportunity?
Disaster season: heat waves sweep the world – in charts and maps
More than 5,000 Nigerian women trapped in Iraq
Niger and beyond: Francophone credit delivers coup de grâce
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Global coal trade approaches its peak
The world has passed peak per capital CO₂ emissions, but overall emissions are still rising
Trump threatens BRICS with tariffs if they dump the dollar
SITREP: Middle East rapidly destabilised by a week of missile strikes
Colombian mercenaries trapped in Sudan’s conflict
Air France diverts Red Sea flights after crew spots 'luminous object'
COMMENT: Tunisia on the brink of collapse
Tunisian President Kais Saied re-elected for second term
WHO declares "global public health emergency" owing to mpox outbreak in Central Africa, new virus strain
Climate crisis-driven global food security deteriorated between 2019 and 2022 and is even affecting the US
Reserve Bank of India resumes bond purchases after three years to manage liquidity
Cost of repairing Syria’s power infrastructure put at $40bn by electricity minister
Indian banks' profitability to moderate in FY26
Former chief of the Bank of Japan sees more rate hikes on the horizon
Is China ready for Trump’s tariff threats?
Transparency International Bangladesh urges new renewable energy plan free from fossil fuel lobby
Trump calls on OPEC to ramp up oil supply
Feed-in-tariff costs for Japanese solar in 2025 set at JYP10 per kw/h
Pakistan urges World Bank to fund smart meter project
China’s satellite internet provider Spacesail sets up in Kazakhstan
Microsoft to invest $3bn in India
INTERVIEW: REnergy Dynamics eyes 175 tonnes per day in compressed biogas projects in India
Chinese power projects under CPEC leave Pakistan struggling with debt
Japan’s ramen shops face crisis as rising costs push more to bankruptcy
Where are the world’s rare earth metals?
Aluminium prices dip as Trump considers 10% tariff on Chinese imports
India's Competition Commission approves major steel industry acquisition
Trump vows to block Nippon Steel's $14bn bid for US Steel
Nepal to criminalise anonymous social media activity
US President Trump says Microsoft in new talks to acquire TikTok
Sanctions have created opportunities for Chinese tech companies in Russia
COMMENT: Gulf states court Russia but stop short of strategic shift
Bahrain's security chief meets Syrian commander amid diplomatic push
Bahrain and Iran to begin talks on normalising relations
Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Kuwait set to offer Russians visa-free entry
Iran's first post-suspension flight to Europe cancelled by France
Iran ends mobile phone registration restrictions in policy shift
Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei labels US epitome of colonialism
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China's Shanghai SUS Environment secures $497mn contract for waste-to-energy project in Iraq
Iraq seeks Iran-backed militia disarmament in new push
Argentina's Milei seeks to establish right-wing international alliance
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Damascus International Airport resumes operations
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French president in Lebanon to meet the country's new leaders
ICJ's Nawaf Salam appointed as Lebanon's new Prime Minister
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IMF: Breaking Latin America’s cycle of low growth and violence
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LATAM BLOG: US-Colombia migrant standoff tests Washington's regional sway
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Mexico grapples with migrant surge as Trump policy bites
Mexico's $20bn refinery crisis threatens energy sovereignty
Human Rights Watch warns of old pattern of abuse returning in Bangladesh
Bangladesh’s BNP urges interim government to expedite elections
Bangladesh revokes former Prime Minister Hasina’s passport
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India accelerates pivot to Western defence platforms, away from Russia
Trump issues anti-wind executive order
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Bali shuts down "Russian Village"
Russia backs Vietnam's bid to join BRICS
Japan hikes rates in a move that goes largely unnoticed
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Trump labels North Korea a 'nuclear power' as he eyes diplomatic revival
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Political divisions and power struggles within Turkey’s top courts and increasing reports of corruption within the state and judiciary have further undermined human rights and the rule of law in the country, Human Rights Watch (HRW) concludes in the Turkey section of its World Report 2025.
Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and his coalition government with the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), led by Devlet Bahceli, exert strong control over the media, courts and state institutions, regularly punishing perceived government critics.
“The sergeant’s donkey”
Turks talk of “the sergeant’s donkey”. When the sergeant orders something, you have to do it. When the donkey heehaws, no one cares.
Local and international courts regularly issue rulings not to the liking of the powers that be in Turkey, but they are simply ignored.
Authorities including courts under certain judges continue to ignore "binding" judgments of the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) that find Turkey in serious violation of specified rights and laws, leading to the perpetuation of those violations, according to New York-based HRW.
For instance, the Turkish authorities have failed to implement a key ECHR ruling that found that the conviction on charges of “membership of a terrorist organisation” of former teacher Yuksel Yalcinkaya, mainly for possessing a mobile phone application called ByLock, something which is allegedly used by the Gulenists, was an arbitrary use of the law that violated the principle of legality.
There are around 8,000 ByLock cases at the ECHR. Following the Yalcinkaya ruling announced last September, a Turkish court disregarded the ECHR and convicted the accused once more on the same charges.
High-profile prisoners Osman Kavala (jailed since October 2017), Cigdem Mater (since April 2022), Can Atalay (since April 2022), Mine Ozerden (since April 2022) and Tayfun Kahraman (since April 2022) remain in prison after convictions on baseless charges.
Turkey flagrantly disregarded an ECHR decision ordering Kavala’s release. That prompted his lawyers to file a new ECHR challenge in January 2024 concerning the continuing violation of Kavala's rights.
In particular, keeping Can Atalay, who was elected an MP in the May 2023 parliamentary elections, behind bars is against any kind of local and international legislation.
The Court of Cassation in Turkey even took the unprecedented step of rejecting two Constitutional Court decisions that Atalay should be released.
Ex-co-chairs of the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP, now known as DEM), namely Selahattin Demirtas and Figen Yuksekdag, have been in prison since 2016. They were convicted and sentenced to long prison terms despite ECHR judgments ordering their immediate release.
Local constitutional court decisions published in November 2023 and January 2024 found that two articles of internet law no. 5651 permitting the blocking or removal of content on the specified grounds violated the right to freedom of expression. A January decision repealed the article concerning violations of personal rights.
Courts frequently issue blocking orders for multiple online accounts in one judgment. The Freedom of Expression Association’s EngelliWeb project announced that Turkey had blocked more than one million websites since the 2007 introduction of the "internet law".
In 2023, bne IntelliNews reported on the Turkish judiciary’s “bribe tariff”. In 2024, this publication reported on the country's “assassination tariff”.
In 2021, the ECHR issued a ruling suggesting that criminalising the act of insulting Erdogan was a violation of basic human rights and freedom of speech. In 2022, a fresh record was set for the number of lawsuits opened on insults allegedly dealt to Erdogan.
No scarcity of crisis
Turkey's cost-of-living crisis continued in 2024.
The government has not yet committed to a coal phase-out and it has plans to expand one of the country’s oldest and most polluting coal power plants in southeastern province Kahramanmaras.
Air pollution control regulations do not meet World Health Organization (WHO) standards and are not fully compliant with European Union standards.
Wretched state of journalism
Government control of the media extends to public broadcaster TRT and public newswire service Anadolu Agency, while the majority of television news channels and print media (95% of all media institutions) are government-aligned.
Independent media in the country operate mainly via online platforms.
Authorities regularly order the blocking of websites and platforms or the removal of critical online content or negative news coverage relating to public officials, companies, the president, his family and members of the judiciary.
They typically cite as grounds unspecified threats to national security or public order or violations of personal rights.
Journalists regularly face prosecution under Turkey’s anti-terror law as well as under criminal defamation laws in addition to a series of other laws.
Torture “in a generalised manner”
Provincial authorities regularly ban protests and assemblies of constituencies critical of the government, often flouting domestic court rulings that state such bans are disproportionate.
Police violently detain demonstrators.
In July, the UN Committee against Torture reviewed Turkey for the first time since the marked rise in torture and ill-treatment that followed the 2016 attempted military coup.
The committee’s concluding observations raised concerns that allegations of torture and ill-treatment occur “in a generalized manner, notably in detention centres” and that where prosecutions take place acts of torture are “frequently classified as other crimes.”
Recommendations from the review included ending the practice of reverse handcuffing widely used by the police, and ending “all extrajudicial extraditions and renditions, including of individuals with perceived or real affiliations” to the Gulenists.
The Kurdish question: business as usual
Turkey concentrates military campaigns against the armed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) with air and drone strikes in northern Iraq where PKK bases are located. It also launches strikes in northeastern Syria against the Kurdish-led, US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).
Since the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria in December, Turkey has continued to occupy territories in northern Syria with the stated objective of protecting itself against the Syrian Kurdish de facto administration that largely extends across northeastern Syria and armed groups aligned with the insurgent PKK.
Hundreds of Kurdish activists, former MPs, mayors and party officials are in prison or are serving sentences following convictions for terrorism offences, political activities, speeches or social media posts.
Kurdish journalists are disproportionately targeted.
Since the last local elections held in March 2024, the government has seized nine municipalities, namely seven held by the current main pro-Kurdish party DEM and two held by the main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP).
Talks with Ocalan "did not address rights deficit of Kurds"
In October, the governing coalition launched talks with PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan, incarcerated in Turkey since 1999.
The process did not address the rights deficit endured by the Kurds. The evolving situation in Syria is also an important factor in the latest round of the negotiations.
"No longer a group of psycho jihadists"
The Turkish authorities have failed to curb abuses by their Syrian National Army (SNA, formerly the Free Syrian Army FSA/OSO) and military police proxies in occupied territories of Syria.
Kurds and Arabs have been subjected to arbitrary arrest, enforced disappearance, torture, ill-treatment, sexual violence and unjust military trials.
Thousands have been forcibly displaced, their property, land and businesses seized.
Western media, meanwhile, have been putting out numerous reports stating that the SNA and its partner Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) are no longer a group of psycho-jihadists.
Xenophobic violence against Syrian migrants amidst rising hostility to refugees in Turkey, stoked by political parties regularly weaponising the issue in their political discourse, also continues.
In July, crowds in the city of Kayseri attacked shops and cars of Syrians, while a mob in Antalya killed a 17-year-old Syrian boy.
Deplorable state of affairs for women and LGBT people
The impact of Turkey’s withdrawal via a presidential decree from the Council of Europe Convention on Preventing and Combating Violence against Women and Domestic Violence (known as the "Istanbul Convention") in 2020 was reflected in a continuing government failure to take adequate measures to curb Turkey's high incidence of gender-based violence and femicide.
The Erdogan government and religious conservative opposition parties regularly use discriminatory political speech amounting to hate speech against lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) communities on the pretext of promoting family values, attempting to appeal to conservative voter bases and fomenting societal polarisation.
This has put LGBT people at great risk. The Istanbul Pride parade was banned for the 10th consecutive year in 2024. Many cities across the country impose similar bans.
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