Opinion

Orban’s new illiberal axis

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow October 30, 2024

Hungarian PM is playing a long game: building alliances with EU candidate countries like Georgia and Serbia whose leaders share his values.

CENUSA: Georgia's general election creates a dilemma for the EU

Denis Cenusa in Germany October 28, 2024

The general election in Georgia showed the EU is having difficulty in influencing public perception in the country.

CENUSA: Referendum exposes weakness of EU’s support in Moldova

Denis Cenusa in Germany October 25, 2024

Russian interference doesn’t tell the full story of why 75% of voters either voted no, boycotted or didn’t turn out for referendum on ‘Europeanisation’ of Moldova’s constitution.

HESS: Mongolia’s unique success story between rock and a hard place at risk

Maximilian Hess October 25, 2024

Surrounded by Russia and China, country’s democracy and economy deserve Western support. But snatching assets from foreign investors would mean such backing falling by the wayside.

OPINION: Georgia to choose between Europe and Russia

Ghia Nodia in Tbilisi October 24, 2024

October 26 parliamentary elections offer a choice between Europe and Russia, which also implies a choice between democracy and autocracy.

Perspectives | Kazakhstan working to lift Cold War-era trade restrictions

Eurasianet October 24, 2024

For Astana, Jackson-Vanik remains a hot-button issue.

HESS: Georgia’s Euro-Atlantic aspirations are at stake in general election

Maximilian Hess in London October 23, 2024

Georgia’s October 26 election is set to be the country’s most significant since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

OPINION: How realistic are Moldova’s bold energy independence ambitions?

Owen Walden-Harris October 20, 2024

Amid the geopolitical chaos generated by the war in Ukraine, Moldova has begun to take the first steps towards weaning itself from Russia’s energy blackmail.

OPINION: BRICS’ path to expansion

Seymur Mammadov in Baku October 20, 2024

34 countries have already submitted their applications to join BRICS, as recent geopolitical shifts have led to a realignment in global politics.

BEIRUT BLOG: Life in the eye of the storm

Fin DePencier in Beirut October 18, 2024

Lebanese civilians are living in a state of fear, with Israel's war against Hezbollah now moving into several weeks.

KSE: Russian Sanctions Digest by KSE Institute October 2024

Kyiv School of Economics October 14, 2024

The decline in Russian oil export revenues is driven by lower global oil prices, not enhanced sanctions enforcement. While the discount on Russian oil remained stable, the reduced revenues reflect less favourable external conditions.

COMMENT: Is the Balkan region Israel’s newfound interest?

Fuad Shahbazov in Durham October 11, 2024

In light of the worsening geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Tel Aviv has sought to build new alliances and partnerships.

KSE: Ukrainian Draft Budget for 2025

Kyiv School of Economics October 8, 2024

The draft budget for 2025 is built on similar principles to the 2024 budget, with a clear focus on defence, security and social protection. International financial assistance remains crucial to maintaining budgetary stability.

ING: commodities and Middle East escalation

bne IntelliNews October 2, 2024

Oil prices rallied after Iran’s missile strike on Israel. Attention is now fully on how Israel will respond to this latest attack. The more Iran gets directly involved in this conflict the greater the risk of oil supply disruptions.

URUS/CLEARPIC: Uzbekistan privatisation tracker

Alexander Teddy COO ClearPic October 2, 2024

Privatisation in Uzbekistan is no new idea. Under the late President Islam Karimov, programmes in the late 1990s and 2000s existed and were ambitious. But while some small state-owned enterprises were sold, valuable companies remain state-owned.

Kazakhstan’s Tokayev an authoritarian who has created “the illusion of change”, say analysts

bne IntelliNews October 2, 2024

President of five years has done little of substance and appears unafraid of tightening screws further, they argue.

COMMENT: From Globalisation to “slowbalisation” as FDIs decline on trade and geopolitical woes

bne IntelliNews September 30, 2024

Global flows of foreign direct investment have trended downwards, both in absolute terms and as a share of world GDP, driven by multiple factors including changes in industrial organisation, increasing barriers to trade and investment.

STOLYPIN: Putin's nuclear rhetoric hints at Ukrainian endgame

Mark Galeotti director of consultancy Mayak Intelligence and honorary professor at UCL School of Slavonic & East European Studies September 29, 2024

Vladimir Putin is at it again, playing on Western nerves with talk of modifications to Russia's nuclear doctrine to open up more options for the use of nuclear weapons. Could one be preparation for an endgame for the war?

COMMENT: Uzbekistan's upcoming parliamentary election is a battle of ideologies amid reforms

Senator Sodiq Safoyev in Tashkent September 26, 2024

On October 27, 2024, Uzbekistan will hold its parliamentary elections, a significant moment in the country’s evolving political trajectory. Under President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, Uzbekistan has embarked on a path of liberalising and modernisation.

RAGOZIN: What is Zelenskiy’s real Plan B?

Leonid Ragozin in Riga September 26, 2024

Popular Ukrainian video blogger “Pasha Bumchik” surprised his followers with a new video which shows him illegally crossing the Romanian border in Karpaty mountains. He decided to undertake this audacious move after receiving a draft notice.

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