Exit polls released shortly after voting ended in Georgia’s parliamentary election on October 26 showed mixed results. The ruling Georgian Dream party took the largest share of the vote according to all three polls. However, two polls by Formula/Edison and Mtavari Arkhi/HarrisX put the ruling party on 41-42% with the combined share of the vote the the main opposition parties coming out higher. 

On the other hand, the pro-government Imedi/Gorbi exit poll showed a considerably better result for Georgian Dream, putting it on 56% of the vote. 

According to Formula/Edison, Georgian Dream was on 41%, followed by Unity — National Movement with 17%, Coalition for Change with 17%, Strong Georgia with 10% and For Georgia with 8%. 

The Mtavari Arkhi/HarrisX showed a 42% share of the vote for Georgian Dream 42%, with Unity — National Movement on 13%, Coalition for Change on 18%, Strong Georgia on 9% and For Georgia on 8%. 

By contrast, the Imedi/Gorbi exit poll had Georgian Dream on 56%, with all the other parties trailing. Unity — National Movement is set to take 12% of the vote, according to the poll, with Coalition for Change on 13%, Strong Georgia on 7% and For Georgia on 5%. 

The upcoming election is viewed as a pivotal moment for Georgia, setting its course between advancing toward EU integration and eventual membership or gravitating back into Russia's sphere of influence.

The ruling Georgian Dream party, in power since 2012, is aiming for a fourth term, while the opposition hopes recent changes to the electoral system could open a path to victory.

Although Georgian Dream officially supports Georgia’s Euro-Atlantic goals, including EU membership, its recent actions—such as passing a "foreign agents law" reminiscent of Russian legislation—have raised concerns. Western allies have increasingly signaled that continued support for Georgia may not be viable if Georgian Dream remains in power.

Pre-election polls indicated growing support for opposition alliances such as Coalition for Change, Strong Georgia and For Georgia, suggesting they may gain a larger share of parliamentary seats. 

An Edison Research poll carried out before the election indicated 32% of respondents would vote for Georgian Dream, while 20% favoured its primary opponent, the National Movement.

Additionally, a majority (71%) of Georgians express a desire for a change in leadership, and 64% believed the country is heading in the wrong direction. 

This sentiment, coupled with recent controversies surrounding Georgian Dream's campaign strategies, indicates a strong momentum for opposition parties, which could lead to increased mandates and an opportunity to challenge Georgian Dream's majority hold.